This has happened before

History

Today's hard decisions have a past. Here you see what Iran decided at a few key moments and what followed, and you can read the events of recent years in date order, each with its sources.

The map over timeStop 2 of 4

before 1813

Before the Treaty of Gulistan

The dashed line is the border of the Qajar state as the Cliopatria maps draw it for 1800 to 1804. Ganja, Shaki, Quba, Baku and Karabakh lie inside it. In these maps they move outside the line in 1805 and 1806, during the war with Russia, not in 1813, the year of the treaty.

Cliopatria's reading, not an exact borderCliopatria is an open collection of maps of past states. Its authors say the maps show only one version of the territory those states held.

The Treaty of Gulistan card ↓The Qajars on Bidar ↗

Maps of each historical period are in Bidar's atlas: Historical maps on Bidar →Historical borders: Cliopatria (Seshat Global History Databank), CC BY 4.0, simplified by Divan. Base map and present-day borders: Natural Earth

This has happened before

7 past decision moments: what was decided and what followed

1813

Treaty of Gulistan

24 Oct 1813, Gulistan

Decision

Signed after the war of 1804–1813 with Russia. The signatories were Mirza Abolhassan Khan Ilchi and Nikolai Rtishchev; Sir Gore Ouseley mediated. Iran ceded Dagestan, eastern Georgia, the khanates of Baku, Shirvan, Derbent, Karabakh, Ganja, Shaki and Quba, and part of Talysh. Russia alone was given the right to keep a war fleet on the Caspian Sea.

What followed

The text was ambiguous, and that ambiguity set the stage for the second war (1826–1828).

Source: en.wikipedia.org

1828

Treaty of Turkmenchay

22 Feb 1828, Turkmenchay

Decision

The signatories were Abbas Mirza and Ivan Paskevich. Iran ceded Erivan, Nakhchivan and the rest of Talysh, and the Aras river became the border. The indemnity was set at 10 kurors in gold (20 million silver roubles). Consular and commercial privileges were granted as well.

What followed

On 11 February 1829 the Russian embassy was attacked and Griboyedov was killed. Between 1828 and 1831 about 90,000 to 100,000 Armenians migrated.

Source: en.wikipedia.org

1951

Oil nationalisation crisis, 1951–1953

Mar 1951, Iran

Decision

Oil was nationalised in March 1951. Several proposals were then rejected: the Harriman mission (which arrived on 15 July 1951), the World Bank's proposal (February 1952) and the joint Truman–Churchill proposal (August 1952). On 22 July 1952 the court in The Hague ruled by 9 votes to 5 that it had no jurisdiction.

What followed

Britain imposed sanctions on 22 August 1951. The coup came on 19 August 1953. In 1954 the consortium was formed: BP 40%, five American companies 40%, Shell 14% and CFP 6%.

Source: en.wikipedia.org, icj-cij.org, iranicaonline.org, history.state.gov

1975

Algiers Agreement

6 Mar 1975, Algiers

Decision

With Houari Boumediene mediating, Mohammad Reza Pahlavi and Saddam Hussein agreed that the border on the Arvand Rud (Shatt al-Arab) would follow the thalweg (the line of the deepest channel), in exchange for an end to Iran's support for the Iraqi Kurds. The treaty followed on 13 June 1975.

What followed

The Kurdish revolt collapsed. Saddam cancelled the agreement unilaterally on 17 September 1980, and the attack came on 22 September 1980.

Source: en.wikipedia.org

1988

Acceptance of Resolution 598

17 Jul 1988, Iran

Decision

The resolution was adopted on 20 July 1987, by consensus and under Chapter VII of the UN Charter. Iran did not accept it at first, and accepted it on 17 July 1988. Khomeini spoke of the "poisoned chalice" on 19 July 1988. Mohsen Rezaei's assessment was that an offensive would not be possible until 1992.

What followed

The ceasefire took effect on 20 August 1988. The UN observer group (UNIIMOG) stayed until 1991. In December 1991 a UN report named Iraq as the side that started the war. No peace treaty was signed.

Source: en.wikipedia.org

2003

Saadabad Declaration

21 Oct 2003, Saadabad, Tehran

Decision

Iran agreed to suspend enrichment voluntarily and to apply the Additional Protocol, in exchange for its file not being sent to the Security Council.

What followed

The Paris Agreement followed in 2004. Iran rejected the EU3 package and resumed uranium conversion on 8 August 2005. On 4 February 2006 the file was referred to the Security Council.

Source: en.wikipedia.org, iranwatch.org, armscontrol.org, iaea.org, iranwatch.org (2)

2015

The 2015 nuclear deal (JCPOA) and the 2018 US exit

14 Jul 2015, Vienna

Decision

14 July 2015: limits lasting 10 to 15 years in exchange for the lifting of sanctions. Implementation Day was 16 January 2016. 8 May 2018: the United States withdrew.

What followed

Sanctions returned on 7 August and 5 November 2018. Iran reduced its commitments from May 2019 and enriched to 60% from 17 April 2021. The Vienna talks of 2021–2022 ended without result. The snapback followed in 2025.

Source: en.wikipedia.org, en.wikipedia.org (2), congress.gov, world-nuclear-news.org

These cards only describe the decision and what followed. Comparing those moments with today is the reader's or an analyst's job. In the sources we read, apart from the "poisoned chalice" comparison in the media, no attributed analysis that could be cited was found.

Most of these cards rest on English Wikipedia, which is a lead rather than a final source. Sources with a dotted underline were seen only as a search summary; the page itself was not opened.

Chronology

421 dated entries from 2003 to 2026, each with its sources; newest first. Skip to the end of the list ↓

YearSearch the chronology

421 entries

High confidence: A primary document, or several sources that were opened and read.
Medium confidence: One source that was opened and read.
Low confidence: Seen only in a search summary or on Wikipedia.

2026

335 entries

Nov 20261 entry

3 Nov 2026Regionupcoming
US midterm congressional elections (scheduled) (High confidence)
Source: cbsnews.com

Oct 202612 entries

27 Oct 2026Regionupcoming
Israeli Knesset election (scheduled) (Medium confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
7 Oct 2026Powerupcoming
Deadline for the government to nominate intelligence and defence ministers to the Majlis (15 Mehr, per the government spokeswoman) (Medium confidence)
Source: entekhab.ir, eghtesadonline.com
4 Oct 2026Economy
Tavanir chief: wartime strikes cut about 4,000 MW of power generation (High confidence)
Source: barghnews.com
3 Oct 2026Economy
Tehran Stock Exchange main index at 7,788,342 points (Medium confidence)
Source: asriran.com, tgju.org
3 Oct 2026Economy
Free-market dollar at about 265,000-268,000 tomans; central bank scheme to sell up to USD 10,000 per person with a national ID card; exchange-centre transfer rate 175,228 tomans (High confidence)
Source: eghtesadonline.com, eghtesadonline.com (2), tabnak.ir
3 Oct 2026Diplomacy
State of the talks: "constructive" per a US official (Al Jazeera) versus "Iran gearing up for a major round of fighting" (The National) (Low confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, thenationalnews.com
3 Oct 2026Region
Fire at the Aramco refinery in Riyadh (ISW assessment: "likely" a Houthi attack) (Low confidence)
Source: understandingwar.org
3 Oct 2026War
Projectiles continue to hit tankers in the Strait of Hormuz (UKMTO: six attacks since 30 September); fighting in Taiz and air strikes on Sanaa (Medium confidence)
Source: understandingwar.org, sabcnews.com
2 Oct 2026Diplomacy
Trump says the war will end "right after the midterms"; renewed bombing after 3 November is "possible" (Medium confidence)
Source: cbsnews.com, aljazeera.com
1 Oct 2026Economy
Bloomberg: Iran loaded no oil onto tankers in September (Kpler and Vortexa), a first since the war began (Medium confidence)
Source: bloomberg.com, briefs.co
1 Oct 2026Economy
US Treasury designates Iran's automotive and rail sectors (Iran Khodro, SAIPA, the state railway) (High confidence)
Source: home.treasury.gov, iranintl.com
1 Oct 2026War
Reported deployment of the USS Theodore Roosevelt carrier strike group and the USS Makin Island group with 9,000-10,000 troops (Medium confidence)
Source: republicanherald.com, aljazeera.com

Sep 202649 entries

30 Sep 2026Economy
Statistical Centre of Iran: inflation in Shahrivar 1405 was 89.8% year on year, 73.6% twelve-month and 4.2% month on month (High confidence)
Source: eco.shafaqna.com, aftabnews.ir
30 Sep 2026Region
US military says its withdrawal of troops from Iraq is complete (High confidence)
Source: pbs.org
30 Sep 2026Diplomacy
Araghchi receives the written US response through Qatari mediators in Doha (Medium confidence)
Source: thenationalnews.com, 24newshd.tv
29 Sep 2026War
Pentagon report: five US service members killed and 443 injured between 7 July and 29 September (Medium confidence)
Source: fox10phoenix.com
29 Sep 2026Power
Peyman Jebelli's five-year term as head of IRIB ends; no renewal or successor decree found (Medium confidence)
Source: mehrnews.com, fa.wikipedia.org
29 Sep 2026Economy
Free-market dollar at about 253,000 tomans (252,475 at 13:23; 253,700 according to the next day's table) (High confidence)
Source: eghtesadonline.com, eghtesadonline.com (2)
29 Sep 2026Diplomacy
New UK sectoral sanctions on Iran take effect (shipping, insurance, oil and gas) (High confidence)
Source: gov.uk, hklaw.com
29 Sep 2026War
Three oil tankers are hit by projectiles in the Strait of Hormuz (Marisks) (Medium confidence)
Source: reuters.com
28 Sep 2026War
Kuwaiti VLCC Al Funtas is struck in the Strait of Hormuz on Monday evening; six tankers hit in a week by 2 October (Medium confidence)
Source: maritime-executive.com, maritime-executive.com (2)
28 Sep 2026Economy
Free-market dollar reaches 243,500 tomans (an all-time high at that date) (High confidence)
Source: eghtesadonline.com, iranintl.com
28 Sep 2026Diplomacy
The Iranian delegation leaves New York on Monday evening (US account: expelled; Iranian account: on a schedule notified on 17 September) (Medium confidence)
Source: thenationalnews.com
27 Sep 2026Power
Majlis approves article 17 of the "countering foreign infiltration" bill in an online session (Medium confidence)
Source: fa.shafaqna.com
26 Sep 2026Diplomacy
Trump publicly rejects Iran's seven-day plan for a truce and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, france24.com, wsj.com
25 Sep 2026Diplomacy
Araghchi at UN headquarters: Iran has conveyed a "concrete seven-day plan" to reopen the Strait of Hormuz to the United States through Qatar (High confidence)
Source: media.un.org, timesofisrael.com, globalsecurity.org
25 Sep 2026Region
France announces the deployment of troops, radar and defence systems to Yanbu, Saudi Arabia (Medium confidence)
Source: foreignpolicy.com
24 Sep 2026Economy
A member of the Majlis energy committee: of 330 million cubic metres of damaged South Pars capacity, 200 million is back on stream (Medium confidence)
Source: snn.ir
24 Sep 2026Region
The Houthis claim attacks on Aramco facilities in Yanbu and a target in Riyadh; Saudi Arabia reports intercepting six ballistic missiles (Medium confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
24 Sep 2026Region
US Senate rejects the war powers resolution 49-50 (High confidence)
Source: text.npr.org, thenationalnews.com, npr.org
23 Sep 2026War
Cargo ship Cape Dao attacked in the Strait of Hormuz; one Indian sailor killed (Medium confidence)
Source: timesofisrael.com
22 Sep 2026Economy
Asr-e Iran report: liquidity grew 53.3% in 1404 and, according to the central bank governor, 19% in the first five months of 1405 (Medium confidence)
Source: asriran.com
22 Sep 2026Diplomacy
Indirect talks between Araghchi and Witkoff/Kushner begin on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly in New York, mediated by Qatar (Medium confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, aljazeera.com (2)
21 Sep 2026Economy
Statistical Centre of Iran: GDP growth in spring 1405 was minus 10.1% (non-oil: minus 4.6%) (High confidence)
Source: khabaronline.ir
20 Sep 2026Power
A triple-urgency bill on leaving the NPT is submitted to the Majlis presiding board; no vote yet (Medium confidence)
Source: en.mehrnews.com, presstv.co.uk
17 Sep 2026Diplomacy
US draft to extend the 1737 Committee Panel of Experts fails on Chinese and Russian vetoes (11-2-2) (High confidence)
Source: securitycouncilreport.org
16 Sep 2026Region
Federal Reserve raises its target range to 3.75-4.00% (first increase since 2023) (High confidence)
Source: federalreserve.gov
16 Sep 2026Region
Congressional Budget Office: the war had cost the US more than USD 38 billion by 1 August (High confidence)
Source: euronews.com
16 Sep 2026Region
US House votes for a third time to end the war (220-204, with seven Republicans) (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
14 Sep 2026Region
Missile strikes on three Iranian Kurdish opposition camps in Sulaymaniyah; a meeting in Oman on the Strait of Hormuz is postponed (Low confidence)
Source: today.lorientlejour.com
13 Sep 2026War
Tanker El Gaia damaged north of Musandam (IRGC: a mine; US: an Iranian drone); two missing (Low confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
11 Sep 2026Economy
IEA Oil Market Report: more than 10 million barrels a day of Gulf production was shut in during August (High confidence)
Source: iea.org
11 Sep 2026Region
Drones hit Saudi Arabia's East-West oil pipeline; Riyadh says they were launched from Iraq (Medium confidence)
Source: timesofisrael.com, cnn.com, pbs.org
11 Sep 2026Region
The Houthis capture Perim Island and take control of the Bab el-Mandeb (High confidence)
Source: theguardian.com, cnbc.com
10 Sep 2026Region
Lebanese Health Ministry: 4,383 killed and 12,406 wounded since 2 March (High confidence)
Source: lbcgroup.tv
9 Sep 2026Economy
Dated Brent reaches USD 113.48 (IEA Oil Market Report) (Medium confidence)
Source: iea.org
9 Sep 2026Economy
National Iranian Gas Company chief: strikes on four gas refineries removed 230 million cubic metres a day of capacity, of which about 100 million has been restored (High confidence)
Source: eghtesadonline.com
9 Sep 2026War
Iranian missile attack on Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan (night of 8-9 September); an A-10 and about eight F-15s damaged (Medium confidence)
Source: cbsnews.com
9 Sep 2026Diplomacy
IAEA Board of Governors adopts resolution GOV/2026/61 (23-3-8) reporting Iran to the UN Security Council (High confidence)
Source: iaea.org, aljazeera.com, armscontrol.org, france24.com
8 Sep 2026Economy
TankerTrackers: Iranian oil exports in August were down 100% on the pre-war baseline; August loadings about 260,000 barrels a day (Kpler) (Medium confidence)
Source: oilprice.com
8 Sep 2026War
United States says it destroyed five Iranian tankers (in response to ballistic missiles fired at a US warship) (Medium confidence)
Source: timesofisrael.com
7 Sep 2026Economy
Government announces a third petrol price tier of 10,000 tomans from 8 September (High confidence)
Source: eghtesadonline.com
7 Sep 2026Diplomacy
Grossi tells the Board the Agency had no access to any declared facility in the period and lost continuity of knowledge of the uranium inventory more than a year ago (High confidence)
Source: iaea.org
5 Sep 2026Economy
Free-market dollar at about 2,250,000 rials (High confidence)
Source: iranintl.com
5 Sep 2026War
The IRGC claims missile hits on a US aircraft carrier and a destroyer (the US says both evaded); the US destroys three IRGC-linked tankers (Medium confidence)
Source: aa.com.tr, timesofisrael.com
3 Sep 2026War
Iran's Army claims attacks on Ahmad al-Jaber Air Base in Kuwait and Al Minhad Air Base in the UAE; Kuwait says it intercepted the attack (Medium confidence)
Source: shafaq.com
3 Sep 2026Region
The Houthis launch an offensive along Yemen's western coast; more than 120 killed in the fighting by 4 September (High confidence)
Source: timesofisrael.com
2 Sep 2026Economy
Free-market dollar passes 2,200,000 rials (Medium confidence)
Source: english.alarabiya.net
1 Sep 2026Economy
Central bank governor: more than USD 18 billion in foreign exchange provided for essential imports since 21 March (Medium confidence)
Source: iranintl.com
1 Sep 2026Diplomacy
IAEA quarterly report (GOV/2026/50): no knowledge of the size, composition or whereabouts of the enriched uranium stockpile; urgent access requested (High confidence)
Source: iaea.org, iaea.org (2), aljazeera.com
1 Sep 2026War
New round of US strikes on southern and western Iran (including Kuhestak); Iran fires missiles at Jordan (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, bbc.com, en.wikipedia.org

Aug 202631 entries

30 Aug 2026War
US strike on Larak Island; Iran fires missiles at Jordan and the UAE the next day (High confidence)
Source: reuters.com, aljazeera.com
29 Aug 2026Economy
Fars: oil revenue in the first four months of 1405 was USD 7.5 billion (via Middle East Eye) (Medium confidence)
Source: middleeasteye.net
28 Aug 2026Economy
US Treasury proposes action under section 311 of the PATRIOT Act against Banque Misr UAE (High confidence)
Source: home.treasury.gov
26 Aug 2026Diplomacy
The IRGC says Iran and Oman have agreed on "shares and revenues" of the Strait of Hormuz; Trump threatens Oman (Medium confidence)
Source: timesofisrael.com
25 Aug 2026Diplomacy
Oman's foreign minister Badr Albusaidi holds talks with Araghchi in Tehran on a temporary joint shipping corridor and joint mine clearance in the Strait of Hormuz (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
25 Aug 2026War
A maritime agency counts 20 dead in 68 incidents near the Strait of Hormuz over six months of war (Medium confidence)
Source: timesofisrael.com
24 Aug 2026Economy
US Treasury launches "Operation Economic Outcast"; free-market dollar at 2,020,000 rials (High confidence)
Source: time.com, cnbc.com
23 Aug 2026Power
74 of 285 Majlis members sign a statement backing the head of IRIB (Medium confidence)
Source: fararu.com
23 Aug 2026Economy
Free-market dollar passes 2,000,000 rials (Low confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
20 Aug 2026Economy
Central bank governor (per The National): oil sales revenue has "fallen to zero" (Medium confidence)
Source: thenationalnews.com
20 Aug 2026Economy
Trump threatens 25% tariffs on countries trading with Iran ("economic D-Day") (Medium confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, cnbc.com
19 Aug 2026Economy
240,000 litres of imported premium petrol offered on the energy exchange at a base price of 89,700 tomans (Medium confidence)
Source: eghtesadonline.com
19 Aug 2026Region
UAE halts all trade and financial transactions with Iran until further notice (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
18 Aug 2026Power
Ghalibaf says the Strait of Hormuz stays closed until the US meets its commitments (Low confidence)
Source: crisisgroup.org
18 Aug 2026Economy
Customs chief: non-oil exports of USD 15 billion and imports of USD 17 billion; an average fall of 24% (High confidence)
Source: nournews.ir
18 Aug 2026War
Bulk carrier Minoan Dignity is hit in the Strait of Hormuz; the chief engineer is killed (Low confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
18 Aug 2026Region
UAE says two ballistic missiles were launched from Iran; Iran denies it and calls it a "false flag" (Medium confidence)
Source: timesofisrael.com, aljazeera.com
17 Aug 2026Region
Drones hit the office of the Kurdistan Region's prime minister in Iraq (attributed to Iran; Iran calls it suspicious) (Low confidence)
Source: timesofisrael.com
17 Aug 2026Diplomacy
The Islamabad Memorandum's 60-day deadline expires without a deal; Iran rejects an extension (High confidence)
Source: iaea.org, aljazeera.com, timesofisrael.com
14 Aug 2026Economy
National Development Fund deputy: the government and the National Iranian Oil Company owe the fund USD 127 billion (Low confidence)
Source: iranwire.com
13 Aug 2026Economy
Head of the energy optimisation organisation: petrol consumption is about 135 million litres a day against refinery output of about 112 million; about 14 million litres a day are imported or drawn from reserves (High confidence)
Source: eghtesadonline.com
13 Aug 2026War
Pete Hegseth says the blockade of Iranian ports can continue "indefinitely" (Medium confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
11 Aug 2026War
US forces fire on a Panama-flagged ship trying to break the blockade (Medium confidence)
Source: timesofisrael.com
10 Aug 2026Power
Leader's decrees: Ali Abdollahi chief of the General Staff, Ahmad Vahidi IRGC commander-in-chief with the rank of major general, Ali Azmaei IRGC Navy commander, Hossein Taeb head of the Basij (High confidence)
Source: globalsecurity.org, globalsecurity.org (2), iranintl.com, aljazeera.com
9 Aug 2026Power
Mohsen Rezaee appointed SNSC secretary by presidential decree (after Zolghadr's resignation) (High confidence)
Source: hamshahrionline.ir, mehrnews.com
8 Aug 2026War
UAE says Iran attacked an ADNOC tanker in the Strait of Hormuz; no casualties (Medium confidence)
Source: timesofisrael.com
7 Aug 2026Region
Saudi Arabia, Türkiye and Pakistan sign the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, aljazeera.com (2)
6 Aug 2026Diplomacy
Oman accepts a framework for talks with Iran on administering the Strait of Hormuz (Medium confidence)
Source: cnbc.com
3 Aug 2026War
A projectile hits the bulk carrier Minoan Pioneer in the Strait of Hormuz; one missing (Medium confidence)
Source: maritime-executive.com, en.wikipedia.org
2 Aug 2026Region
Mohammed bin Salman urges Trump by phone to prioritise dialogue (Medium confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
2 Aug 2026Diplomacy
Trump says he cancelled a planned major attack; Iran calls the claim that it asked for more time a "lie" (Medium confidence)
Source: haaretz.com

Jul 202632 entries

29 Jul 2026Region
Coordinated US-Saudi strikes on Popular Mobilization Forces groups in Iraq; at least 20 killed and 32 wounded (Medium confidence)
Source: thedefensepost.com
29 Jul 2026War
United States resumes strikes on Iran after a pause of several days (Medium confidence)
Source: apnews.com
28 Jul 2026Economy
Supreme Audit Court: bank overdrafts from the central bank reached 798 trillion tomans at the end of 1404 (Medium confidence)
Source: javanonline.ir
24 Jul 2026Region
Wall Street Journal: Bahraini and Kuwaiti jets, with UAE support, struck Iran (Kuwait denies it) (Low confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org, foreignpolicy.com
24 Jul 2026Diplomacy
EU sanctions 6 more persons under its human rights regime (High confidence)
Source: consilium.europa.eu
23 Jul 2026Region
US House passes a new war powers resolution 214-208; the Senate rejects a companion measure 47-49 the same day (High confidence)
Source: stripes.com, cnbc.com, c-span.org
23 Jul 2026War
US strike on the Shalamcheh border crossing; two killed and 11 wounded (IRNA) (Medium confidence)
Source: middleeasteye.net
22 Jul 2026Region
The Houthis announce attacks on several Saudi tankers in the Red Sea; on 24 July Houthi media report Saudi air strikes on Hodeidah and Kamaran Island (Medium confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
21 Jul 2026Region
Bezalel Smotrich says Israel will not join the US strikes on Iran (Medium confidence)
Source: jpost.com
20 Jul 2026War
Tankers Kavomaleas and Kaifan attacked on the Omani side of the Strait of Hormuz; both crews abandon ship (the IRGC issued a statement) (High confidence)
Source: jpost.com, maritime-executive.com
20 Jul 2026Power
Guardian Council spokesman: no new decision on the date of the by-elections (Medium confidence)
Source: asriran.com
20 Jul 2026Region
The Houthis declare a "naval blockade" of Saudi Arabia (Medium confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, cfr.org
19 Jul 2026Diplomacy
Iran's deputy foreign minister says the US has suspended its commitments and Iran will reciprocate; Iran reports a missile at the Karun plant construction site, IAEA sees no damage in satellite imagery (High confidence)
Source: iaea.org
17 Jul 2026Economy
Free-market dollar hits a record 1,918,000 rials (High confidence)
Source: iranintl.com
17 Jul 2026War
Iranian missile and drone attack on Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan; two US service members killed and one missing (the toll later rose to three) (High confidence)
Source: iranintl.com, aljazeera.com, thehill.com, theguardian.com, axios.com
14 Jul 2026Power
Majlis standing committees elect their chairs for the third session (High confidence)
Source: icana.ir
14 Jul 2026Economy
Majlis Research Center: three scenarios for the summer 1405 power shortfall: 10,112, 13,640 and 18,796 MW (Medium confidence)
Source: hamshahrionline.ir
14 Jul 2026Economy
Free-market dollar on the day the blockade returned: 181,285 tomans (High confidence)
Source: eghtesadonline.com
14 Jul 2026War
IRGC missile attacks on the tankers Mombasa B and Al Bahyah and the Stolt Magnesium off Oman; one Indian national killed (High confidence)
Source: reuters.com
14 Jul 2026War
US naval blockade resumes at 4 pm US Eastern time (High confidence)
Source: centcom.mil, foxnews.com, cnn.com, cnbc.com
13 Jul 2026Region
Air strike on Sanaa airport (claimed by Yemen's government; the Houthis accuse Saudi Arabia); the Houthis declare the end of de-escalation and attack Abha airport (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, thenationalnews.com
13 Jul 2026War
Trump announces the reinstatement of the naval blockade (Medium confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
12 Jul 2026War
CENTCOM begins nightly strikes on Iran on the night of 11-12 July (in response to the GFS Galaxy attack); thirteen consecutive nights (High confidence)
Source: edition.cnn.com, reuters.com, newarab.com, timesofisrael.com
11 Jul 2026War
Container ship GFS Galaxy attacked in the Strait of Hormuz (night of 11-12 July); one crew member missing (dossier 01: one Indian crew member killed) (High confidence)
Source: timesofisrael.com, aljazeera.com, en.wikipedia.org
9 Jul 2026War
A projectile hits the perimeter of the Bushehr plant (Iran blames a US projectile; the US denies it) (Low confidence)
Source: apnews.com
9 Jul 2026War
Strikes on railway bridges in Golestan province and elsewhere (attributed by Iran to the US) (Medium confidence)
Source: intellinews.com
8 Jul 2026War
Ceasefire collapses: after Tuesday's US strikes and the IRGC's overnight response (a claimed attack on 85 US targets in Bahrain and Kuwait), Trump tells the NATO summit in Ankara the ceasefire is "over" (High confidence)
Source: text.npr.org, aljazeera.com, npr.org, en.wikipedia.org, iaea.org
7 Jul 2026War
United States strikes more than 80 targets in southern Iran, hours after the attacks on ships (High confidence)
Source: text.npr.org, aljazeera.com
7 Jul 2026Economy
OFAC revokes General License X and replaces it with wind-down General License X1 (High confidence)
Source: ofac.treasury.gov, aljazeera.com
7 Jul 2026War
IRGC missile attacks on commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz (night of 6-7 July and morning of 7 July), including Al Rekayyat and Wedyan (High confidence)
Source: reuters.com, english.aawsat.com, axios.com, apnews.com
4 Jul 2026Power
Leader's decree gives Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i a second term as head of the judiciary (published on 5 July) (High confidence)
Source: iranintl.com, globalsecurity.org, fararu.com, fa.shafaqna.com
1 Jul 2026Diplomacy
Iran-US technical talks in Doha, mediated by Qatar and Pakistan, conclude; agreement on a dispute-resolution channel and goods purchases from USD 6 billion in frozen assets (Medium confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com

Jun 202635 entries

28 Jun 2026War
IRGC attacks Ali Al Salem Air Base in Kuwait and the Fifth Fleet headquarters in Manama (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
28 Jun 2026Diplomacy
After three days of exchanges (26-28 June), the US and Iran agree to halt strikes and meet within the week (Medium confidence)
Source: axios.com, aljazeera.com
26 Jun 2026Region
Marco Rubio announces an Israel-Lebanon framework deal; Hezbollah demands Israel's unconditional withdrawal (Medium confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, en.wikipedia.org
26 Jun 2026War
Two nights of US strikes on Qeshm and Iran's southern coast (26-27 June) (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, aljazeera.com (2)
25 Jun 2026War
Drones hit the container ship Ever Lovely (25 June) and the tanker Kiku (27 June) in the Strait of Hormuz; the US blames Iran (Medium confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, cnbc.com
23 Jun 2026Region
US Senate passes the war powers resolution 50-48 (High confidence)
Source: text.npr.org, npr.org, aljazeera.com
21 Jun 2026War
Daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz fall from 26 ships to five; Iran says it has shut the strait again (Medium confidence)
Source: reuters.com
21 Jun 2026Economy
OFAC General License X authorises transactions in Iranian crude oil, petroleum and petrochemical products (valid to 21 August) (High confidence)
Source: ofac.treasury.gov, gtlaw.com
21 Jun 2026Diplomacy
First post-memorandum talks at Bürgenstock, Switzerland, mediated by Pakistan and Qatar (High confidence)
Source: indiatoday.in, kashmirobserver.net, iaea.org
19 Jun 2026Diplomacy
FATF statement in Paris keeps Iran, with North Korea and Myanmar, on the "call for action" list (High confidence)
Source: fatf-gafi.org
19 Jun 2026Region
Trump announces an Israel-Hezbollah truce from 4 pm local time (Medium confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
18 Jun 2026Economy
Free-market dollar on the day the blockade was lifted: 156,510 tomans; "agreed-rate dollar" 145,595 tomans (High confidence)
Source: eghtesadonline.com, nournews.ir
18 Jun 2026War
CENTCOM announces the lifting of the naval blockade of Iranian ports (High confidence)
Source: x.com, aljazeera.com, news.usni.org, cnbc.com
17 Jun 2026Diplomacy
Islamabad Memorandum signed: Trump at the Palace of Versailles after the G7 summit, Pezeshkian electronically in Tehran; 14 points and a 60-day deadline (High confidence)
Source: iaea.org, aljazeera.com, jusmundi.com, en.wikipedia.org
15 Jun 2026Economy
Free-market dollar falls to 162,000 tomans after the deal announcement (down 6,000 in a day) (Medium confidence)
Source: tabdeal.org
15 Jun 2026Diplomacy
JD Vance says representatives of both sides digitally signed the memorandum the day before (Medium confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
14 Jun 2026Diplomacy
Memorandum digitally signed by representatives of both sides (according to JD Vance on 15 June) (Medium confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org, en.wikipedia.org (2)
12 Jun 2026Diplomacy
Shehbaz Sharif says Iran and the United States have agreed on a final text (High confidence)
Source: ndtv.com
11 Jun 2026War
US forces hit the tanker MT Jalveer with two Hellfire missiles off Shinas, Oman; the crew is safe (Medium confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
11 Jun 2026War
Iran declares the Strait of Hormuz closed "indefinitely" (Medium confidence)
Source: m.economictimes.com
10 Jun 2026War
Iranian missile attacks on the Fifth Fleet in Manama, Ali Al Salem in Kuwait and Azraq in Jordan; the three governments report full interception, while NZZ reports damage to the Jabal al-Dukhan radar in Bahrain (Medium confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, nzz.ch
10 Jun 2026War
US attack on the tanker M/T Settebello in the Gulf of Oman kills three Indian crew (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, bbc.com, en.wikipedia.org
10 Jun 2026War
US strikes on Qeshm, Sirik, Jask and Bandar Abbas (22:00 GMT on 9 June to 01:00 GMT on 10 June); the New York Times reports damage to a water installation at Bemani (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, aljazeera.com (2), nytimes.com
10 Jun 2026Diplomacy
IAEA Board resolution GOV/2026/40 (vote count not found) (High confidence)
Source: iaea.org, iaea.org (2)
8 Jun 2026War
A US AH-64 Apache crashes off Oman (per the US, after an Iranian drone); the crew is rescued (Medium confidence)
Source: cbsnews.com
8 Jun 2026Diplomacy
EU sanctions the IRGC Navy Hormozgan provincial command and two persons (High confidence)
Source: consilium.europa.eu
7 Jun 2026War
Direct Iran-Israel exchange of strikes resumes (7-8 June) (Medium confidence)
Source: nytimes.com, reuters.com
5 Jun 2026Economy
Lloyd's List estimate: the blockade cost Iran nearly USD 6 billion in oil revenue in April and May (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
4 Jun 2026Diplomacy
IAEA report on Iran (GOV/2026/33; corrigendum on 5 June) (High confidence)
Source: iaea.org, iaea.org (2)
3 Jun 2026Region
Israel and Lebanon reach a US-facilitated agreement; Hezbollah rejects it on 4 June (Medium confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
3 Jun 2026War
An Iranian drone hits Kuwait airport; one killed and 63 injured (Medium confidence)
Source: theguardian.com
3 Jun 2026Region
US House of Representatives passes an Iran war powers resolution 215-208 (High confidence)
Source: text.npr.org, aljazeera.com, npr.org, c-span.org
2 Jun 2026War
United States fires a missile at the tanker M/T Lexie on the Kharg route (Medium confidence)
Source: theguardian.com
1 Jun 2026Diplomacy
IAEA inspection at the Bushehr nuclear power plant (1-3 June), the only inspection since the war began (High confidence)
Source: iaea.org, iaea.org (2)
1 Jun 2026Diplomacy
Iran announces an end to all talks; the same day Israel and Hezbollah reach an understanding to halt mutual attacks (Medium confidence)
Source: washingtonpost.com

May 202624 entries

28 May 2026War
Iranian missile attack on Ali Al Salem Air Base, Kuwait; about five Americans lightly hurt and an MQ-9 drone destroyed (Medium confidence)
Source: bloomberg.com
27 May 2026Region
Muqtada al-Sadr dissolves Saraya al-Salam (Low confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
25 May 2026Power
Majlis elects its presiding board for the third session; Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf stays speaker with 235 of 271 votes (High confidence)
Source: icana.ir, fararu.com
25 May 2026War
US "self-defence" strikes on Iran's southern coast (25 and 27 May) (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, washingtonpost.com, politico.com
22 May 2026Diplomacy
EU extends its sanctions framework to Iranian actions against freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz (High confidence)
Source: consilium.europa.eu
22 May 2026Diplomacy
A Qatari negotiating team arrives in Tehran; Qatar joins the mediation (Medium confidence)
Source: reuters.com
19 May 2026Economy
The Tehran Stock Exchange reopens after about 80 days (High confidence)
Source: shahraranews.ir, eghtesadonline.com
17 May 2026War
A drone hits the perimeter of the Barakah nuclear power plant in the UAE; no casualties or release (Medium confidence)
Source: apnews.com
14 May 2026Region
Iraq's parliament approves the government of Ali al-Zaidi (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
13 May 2026Economy
EIA: oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz fell to about 14.6 million barrels a day in the first quarter of 2026 (20.4 million a year earlier) (Medium confidence)
Source: bloomberg.com
13 May 2026War
Indian cargo vessel Haji Ali sinks off Oman; 14 crew rescued (perpetrator unknown) (Medium confidence)
Source: indiatoday.in
10 May 2026Power
Abbas-Ali Kadkhodaei becomes secretary of the Expediency Council (replacing Zolghadr) (Low confidence)
Source: fa.wikipedia.org
7 May 2026War
US "self-defence" strikes on southern Iran during the ceasefire (Al Jazeera: Qeshm, Bandar Khamir and Sirik; dossier 01: Bandar Abbas and Qeshm) (High confidence)
Source: cnn.com, aljazeera.com
6 May 2026Region
Araghchi visits Beijing (Medium confidence)
Source: uscc.gov
6 May 2026War
US forces disable the Iranian-flagged tanker MT Hasna in the Gulf of Oman (blockade enforcement) (Medium confidence)
Source: aa.com.tr
5 May 2026War
White House announces that Operation Epic Fury has concluded; the Pentagon later counts casualties after 7 July under "Overseas Operations" (Medium confidence)
Source: fox10phoenix.com, thehill.com
5 May 2026Economy
Iran International reports the deputy labour minister's April 2026 statement that the war directly destroyed more than one million jobs and cost two million more indirectly; two other officials rejected the figure (Medium confidence)
Source: iranintl.com
5 May 2026War
A missile hits the container ship CMA CGM San Antonio in the Strait of Hormuz; several crew injured (High confidence)
Source: lemonde.fr, maritime-executive.com
5 May 2026War
Iran sets up a "Persian Gulf Strait Authority" to administer the Strait of Hormuz (Medium confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, maritime-executive.com
4 May 2026War
Iranian attack on the Fujairah oil industry zone in the UAE; three Indian nationals injured (Medium confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, maritime-executive.com
4 May 2026War
US escort operation "Project Freedom" begins amid clashes in the strait; Trump pauses it on 6 May (High confidence)
Source: maritime-executive.com, aljazeera.com
1 May 2026Economy
US Defense Department estimate: the blockade cost Iran USD 4.8 billion from 13 April to 1 May and halted 31 tankers carrying 53 million barrels (Medium confidence)
Source: axios.com, en.wikipedia.org
1 May 2026Power
The by-elections due on 1 May are not held; SNSC decision: sixty days after the official end of the war (Medium confidence)
Source: asriran.com
1 May 2026Region
UAE leaves OPEC and OPEC+ (High confidence)
Source: wam.ae

Apr 202635 entries

29 Apr 2026Economy
Free-market dollar hits a record 1.81 million rials (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
28 Apr 2026Region
Emergency consultative summit of GCC leaders in Jeddah (Low confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
27 Apr 2026War
Iran reports a further strike on the Bushehr nuclear power plant site to the IAEA (during the ceasefire) (Medium confidence)
Source: iaea.org
26 Apr 2026Region
The US sanctions waiver for India's Chabahar port project expires (Medium confidence)
Source: moderndiplomacy.eu, en.wikipedia.org
24 Apr 2026Region
Drones launched from Iraq hit two border posts in northern Kuwait (Medium confidence)
Source: arabtimesonline.com
22 Apr 2026War
IRGC attacks the container ships Epaminondas and MSC Francesca (seized) in the Strait of Hormuz (High confidence)
Source: bbc.com, maritime-executive.com
21 Apr 2026Diplomacy
A planned second round in Islamabad does not take place; Iran sends no delegation (Medium confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
21 Apr 2026Diplomacy
Trump extends the ceasefire indefinitely at Pakistan's request; the blockade remains (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
19 Apr 2026War
United States seizes an Iranian cargo ship bound for Bandar Abbas in the Arabian Sea; Iran calls it a ceasefire violation (High confidence)
Source: jpost.com, bbc.com
18 Apr 2026War
IRGC fast boats fire on merchant ships in the Strait of Hormuz (including the tanker Sanmar Herald) (High confidence)
Source: france24.com, en.wikipedia.org
17 Apr 2026War
Araghchi declares the Strait of Hormuz open during the Lebanon truce; Trump says the blockade stays; Iran reimposes restrictions on 18 April (High confidence)
Source: reuters.com, business-standard.com
16 Apr 2026Region
Ten-day Israel-Lebanon ceasefire brokered by the US (extended by three weeks on 23 April and by 45 days on 15 May) (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, en.wikipedia.org
14 Apr 2026Region
First direct Israel-Lebanon talks in Washington at ambassador level, attended by Marco Rubio (Medium confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
13 Apr 2026Economy
Free-market dollar on the day the blockade began: 1,565,700 rials (High confidence)
Source: eghtesadonline.com
13 Apr 2026War
US naval blockade of vessels bound to or from Iranian ports takes effect at 10:00 EDT (High confidence)
Source: reuters.com, washingtonpost.com, en.wikipedia.org
12 Apr 2026Region
Azerbaijan reopens its embassy in Tehran (Low confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
11 Apr 2026Region
Pakistani fighter jets deploy to King Abdulaziz Air Base in Saudi Arabia (Low confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
11 Apr 2026Diplomacy
Islamabad Talks at the Serena Hotel, 11-12 April, about 21 hours, no agreement (Vance, Witkoff and Kushner facing Ghalibaf and Araghchi) (High confidence)
Source: text.npr.org, npr.org, en.wikipedia.org
9 Apr 2026Power
Death of Kamal Kharazi according to Wikipedia's list of officials killed in the war (no primary source seen) (Low confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
8 Apr 2026War
Strike on the Lavan refinery and Sirri Island (perpetrator unknown; later attributed to the UAE by the WSJ); Iranian attacks on Kuwait, the UAE and Bahrain continue (Medium confidence)
Source: reuters.com, timesofisrael.com, aljazeera.com
8 Apr 2026Region
Israel's largest wave of air strikes on Lebanon ("Operation Eternal Darkness"); reported death toll ranges from 254 to more than 357 (High confidence)
Source: theguardian.com, aljazeera.com
8 Apr 2026Diplomacy
Two-week Iran-US ceasefire mediated by Pakistan takes effect (High confidence)
Source: theguardian.com, aljazeera.com, en.wikipedia.org
7 Apr 2026Diplomacy
Trump threatens that "a civilisation will die tonight" and then announces a two-week ceasefire (High confidence)
Source: theguardian.com
7 Apr 2026War
US strikes military targets on Kharg Island (High confidence)
Source: reuters.com
7 Apr 2026War
The Rafi-Nia synagogue in Tehran is destroyed in a strike (Medium confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
7 Apr 2026Diplomacy
Russia and China veto Bahrain's draft Security Council resolution on the Strait of Hormuz (11-2) (Medium confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
6 Apr 2026War
IRGC intelligence chief Majid Khademi is killed (Medium confidence)
Source: iranintl.com
6 Apr 2026War
Strike on Sharif University of Technology in Tehran; 34 killed across Iran in that wave (Medium confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
6 Apr 2026War
Strike on two houses in Baharestan county, Tehran; 13 killed according to Fars (dossier 01 says 23) (Medium confidence)
Source: iranintl.com
5 Apr 2026War
An Iranian missile hits a residential building in Haifa; four killed (same-day report: two dead and two missing) (Medium confidence)
Source: ynetnews.com
5 Apr 2026Diplomacy
Pakistan's two-stage ceasefire plan (Asim Munir); Iran answers with a ten-point plan (Medium confidence)
Source: arabnews.com
4 Apr 2026War
Fourth strike near the Bushehr nuclear power plant; a member of the site's physical protection staff is killed by a fragment (IAEA) (High confidence)
Source: news.un.org, cbc.ca, ans.org
4 Apr 2026War
Strikes on the petrochemical zones of Mahshahr and Bandar Imam; at least five injured according to Fars (dossier 01: "five killed and 170 wounded") (Medium confidence)
Source: aa.com.tr, bbc.com
3 Apr 2026War
A US F-15E is shot down over Iran; both crew members are rescued (High confidence)
Source: nytimes.com, bbc.com, cbsnews.com
2 Apr 2026War
Strike on the B1 bridge in Karaj; eight killed and 95 wounded (provincial official) (High confidence)
Source: al-monitor.com

Mar 202685 entries

31 Mar 2026Diplomacy
Joint five-point initiative by China and Pakistan (High confidence)
Source: fmprc.gov.cn, axios.com
30 Mar 2026War
Attack on a power and desalination plant in Kuwait kills a worker (Kuwait blames Iran; Iran blames Israel) (Medium confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
30 Mar 2026Diplomacy
EU extends its Iran human rights sanctions regime until 13 April 2027 (High confidence)
Source: consilium.europa.eu
29 Mar 2026Power
Guardian Council spokesman: Majlis by-elections in five constituencies with 123 approved candidates (Medium confidence)
Source: nournews.ir
28 Mar 2026Economy
Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline (bypassing Hormuz) reaches 7 million barrels a day (Medium confidence)
Source: bloomberg.com
28 Mar 2026Economy
Free-market dollar at the start of 1405: 158,545 tomans (Medium confidence)
Source: sharghdaily.com
28 Mar 2026Power
Reza Pahlavi speaks at the CPAC conference (Low confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
28 Mar 2026Power
A bill on "protecting the nuclear rights of the Iranian nation" (NPT withdrawal) is formally received by the Majlis; no vote held (Medium confidence)
Source: armscontrol.org
28 Mar 2026War
Attack on the Emirates Global Aluminium smelter at Al Taweelah, Abu Dhabi; heavy damage (High confidence)
Source: reuters.com, newsweek.com
28 Mar 2026Region
The Houthis enter the war, firing missiles at Israel (IDF: intercepted) (High confidence)
Source: timesofisrael.com, en.wikipedia.org
27 Mar 2026War
IRGC bans passage through the Strait of Hormuz for any ship bound to or from ports of the US, Israel and their allies (Medium confidence)
Source: scmp.com
27 Mar 2026War
Iranian missile and drone attack on Prince Sultan Air Base, Saudi Arabia; 10 to 15 US service members wounded (High confidence)
Source: apnews.com
27 Mar 2026War
Israeli strikes on Mobarakeh Steel (Isfahan) and Khuzestan Steel (Ahvaz) (High confidence)
Source: timesofisrael.com
27 Mar 2026War
Israeli strikes on the Khondab heavy-water site (Arak) and a yellowcake plant in Yazd province; IAEA: the heavy-water production plant was severely damaged (High confidence)
Source: timesofisrael.com, understandingwar.org, english.alarabiya.net, iaea.org
26 Mar 2026War
US-made scatterable mines found in Kafari village near Shiraz (identified by experts in a Bellingcat report; not confirmed by the US) (Medium confidence)
Source: bellingcat.com, washingtonpost.com
26 Mar 2026War
IRGC Navy commander Alireza Tangsiri killed in an Israeli strike on Bandar Abbas (confirmed by the IRGC on 30 March) (High confidence)
Source: reuters.com, usnews.com, iranintl.com, aljazeera.com
25 Mar 2026Diplomacy
Pakistan conveys the US 15-point plan to Iran; Iran rejects it and tables a 5-point counter-proposal (High confidence)
Source: pbs.org, apnews.com
24 Mar 2026War
Iran reports another strike on the Bushehr nuclear power plant site; the IAEA urges restraint (Medium confidence)
Source: iaea.org, newsonair.gov.in
24 Mar 2026Economy
QatarEnergy declares force majeure on some LNG contracts (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
24 Mar 2026Power
Mohammad Bagher Zolghadr appointed secretary of the Supreme National Security Council (Medium confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org, aljazeera.com
23 Mar 2026Diplomacy
Trump postpones strikes on Iranian power plants by five days (Medium confidence)
Source: apnews.com
22 Mar 2026Power
Government says a caretaker intelligence minister has been named and will be announced later (High confidence)
Source: iranintl.com
21 Mar 2026Region
Saudi Arabia expels Iran's defence attachés (Low confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
21 Mar 2026War
Iranian missiles hit Dimona and Arad; 180 wounded (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
20 Mar 2026War
Two ballistic missiles fired towards the Diego Garcia base (attributed to Iran; Iran denies it and calls it a "false flag") (Low confidence)
Source: reuters.com, aljazeera.com
19 Mar 2026War
An Iranian missile damages the BAZAN refinery in Haifa (High confidence)
Source: reuters.com
19 Mar 2026Region
Qatar expels the military and security staff of the Iranian embassy (Low confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
19 Mar 2026War
Start of the US air campaign to reopen the Strait of Hormuz; Gen. Dan Caine announces A-10 deployments against fast-attack craft (Medium confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
18 Mar 2026Economy
Iraq says it will resume oil exports through Türkiye's Ceyhan port (Medium confidence)
Source: thenationalnews.com
18 Mar 2026War
Israeli strike on Iranian naval vessels at Bandar Anzali on the Caspian Sea (Medium confidence)
Source: maritime-executive.com, ynetnews.com
18 Mar 2026War
Iranian missile attack on Ras Laffan Industrial City, Qatar; about 17% of LNG export capacity knocked out for years (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, en.wikipedia.org
18 Mar 2026War
Israeli strikes on the South Pars gas field and Asaluyeh (Medium confidence)
Source: axios.com, aljazeera.com
18 Mar 2026War
Intelligence Minister Esmaeil Khatib killed in an Israeli strike (High confidence)
Source: theguardian.com, iranintl.com, iranintl.com (2)
17 Mar 2026War
A projectile hits the Bushehr nuclear power plant site at 15:11 GMT, destroying a structure 350 metres from the reactor (confirmed by the IAEA on 18 March) (High confidence)
Source: world-nuclear-news.org, reuters.com, iaea.org, ans.org, en-hrana.org
17 Mar 2026War
Ali Larijani (SNSC secretary) and Gholamreza Soleimani (Basij commander) killed in an Israeli strike on Tehran (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
16 Mar 2026Economy
The 1405 budget law is promulgated (Medium confidence)
Source: factnameh.com
16 Mar 2026Diplomacy
EU sanctions 16 persons and 3 entities over the crackdown on the January 2026 protests (High confidence)
Source: consilium.europa.eu
16 Mar 2026Region
Israeli military announces a "targeted ground operation" in southern Lebanon (High confidence)
Source: fdd.org, aljazeera.com
15 Mar 2026Power
Reza Pahlavi says his transitional government is ready (Low confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
13 Mar 2026War
Drone attack on the Sohar industrial area in Oman kills two (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
13 Mar 2026War
United States bombs military targets on Kharg Island (High confidence)
Source: nbcnews.com
12 Mar 2026War
Iran reports attacks on the Natanz site to the IAEA (12 and 21 March) (Medium confidence)
Source: iaea.org
12 Mar 2026War
Air strikes attributed to the US hit the Popular Mobilization Forces in al-Qaim and near Kirkuk; 20 killed (Medium confidence)
Source: cbsnews.com
12 Mar 2026War
Drone attack on the Makhmour base in Iraq kills French soldier Arnaud Frion (High confidence)
Source: politico.eu
11 Mar 2026War
Two tankers (Zefyros and Safesea Vishnu) attacked in Iraqi waters (11-12 March); Iraq's oil terminals suspended (Medium confidence)
Source: bloomberg.com, reuters.com
11 Mar 2026War
Thai bulk carrier Mayuree Naree attacked in the Strait of Hormuz; three crew missing (High confidence)
Source: pbs.org, bangkokpost.com
10 Mar 2026War
United States says Iran has laid mines in the Strait of Hormuz and that it destroyed 16 minelayers (Medium confidence)
Source: bbc.com
9 Mar 2026Region
Kuwait's emir calls it an unprovoked attack by "a Muslim neighbour we consider a friend" (Low confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
9 Mar 2026War
Blast near the BAPCO refinery in Bahrain wounds at least 32 (a Reuters analysis finds a Patriot missile was likely involved) (Medium confidence)
Source: reuters.com, euronews.com
9 Mar 2026Power
Official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei as Supreme Leader on state TV, early Monday Tehran time (High confidence)
Source: pbs.org, text.npr.org, npr.org, fortune.com
8 Mar 2026Economy
Brent crude passes USD 100 for the first time in four years (High confidence)
Source: al-ain.com, iranintl.com
8 Mar 2026Region
Pezeshkian tells Ilham Aliyev by phone that Iran was not behind the Nakhchivan strike; the border reopens on 9 March (Low confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
8 Mar 2026War
An Iranian drone hits the social security institution tower in Kuwait City; two fire officers killed (High confidence)
Source: reuters.com
8 Mar 2026Power
Final session of the Assembly of Experts elects Mojtaba Khamenei as Supreme Leader (voting 3-8 March) (Medium confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, en.wikipedia.org
7 Mar 2026Economy
First loading at the Jask terminal (Goreh-Jask pipeline) since 2024, about 2 million barrels (Kpler) (Medium confidence)
Source: x.com, eia.gov
7 Mar 2026War
Israel's first strikes on Iranian oil facilities: fuel depots in Tehran and Karaj; at least four killed (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
5 Mar 2026War
The 12,000-seat Azadi indoor arena in Tehran is destroyed in an air strike (Medium confidence)
Source: iranintl.com, aljazeera.com
5 Mar 2026Region
US House narrowly rejects a resolution to end the war with Iran (Medium confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, axios.com
5 Mar 2026Region
Two drones hit Nakhchivan; Baku blames Iran and Tehran denies it (Medium confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, en.wikipedia.org
4 Mar 2026War
Iran reports a first attack on the Bushehr nuclear power plant site to the IAEA (Medium confidence)
Source: iaea.org
4 Mar 2026War
An 11-year-old girl is killed by falling shrapnel in Kuwait (High confidence)
Source: kuwaittimes.com, aljazeera.com
4 Mar 2026Region
NATO shoots down a ballistic missile that entered Turkish airspace (Türkiye says it came from Iran; Iran later denies it) (Medium confidence)
Source: timesofisrael.com, nytimes.com, en.wikipedia.org
4 Mar 2026War
A US submarine sinks the frigate IRIS Dena near Galle, Sri Lanka; 87 crew killed and 32 rescued (High confidence)
Source: reuters.com, washingtonpost.com, thenationalnews.com
3 Mar 2026War
Two Iranian drones hit the US embassy in Riyadh (High confidence)
Source: pbs.org
3 Mar 2026Power
The Assembly of Experts secretariat building in Qom is struck (Low confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
3 Mar 2026War
Israeli strike on the leadership compound in Tehran (per the IDF: the SNSC headquarters and the president's office) (Medium confidence)
Source: iranintl.com
3 Mar 2026Power
First (online) session of the Assembly of Experts; Iran International, citing unnamed sources, reports Mojtaba Khamenei has been chosen (unofficial report) (Low confidence)
Source: iranintl.com, en.wikipedia.org
2 Mar 2026War
Tehran's Golestan Palace (a UNESCO World Heritage site) is damaged in an air strike on nearby Arg Square (Medium confidence)
Source: euronews.com
2 Mar 2026Region
A drone hits RAF Akrotiri in Cyprus in the early hours; minor damage (High confidence)
Source: cyprus-mail.com, theguardian.com
2 Mar 2026War
Projectiles hit the tanker Stena Imperative in a Bahraini port; one port worker killed (Medium confidence)
Source: reuters.com
2 Mar 2026Region
Qatar shoots down two Iranian Su-24 bombers; Iranian attacks halt Qatari LNG production (Medium confidence)
Source: edition.cnn.com, ft.com
2 Mar 2026War
Three US F-15s go down over Kuwait (CENTCOM: friendly fire by Kuwaiti air defences; Iran claims shoot-downs); the crews survive (Medium confidence)
Source: cbsnews.com
2 Mar 2026War
Israeli strike on the IRIB state broadcaster headquarters in Tehran (night of 2-3 March) (Medium confidence)
Source: jpost.com
2 Mar 2026War
Strike on the entrance buildings of the Natanz enrichment plant; the IAEA confirms the damage and sees no radiological consequence (High confidence)
Source: reuters.com, aljazeera.com, iaea.org
2 Mar 2026War
A senior IRGC official formally confirms the closure of the Strait of Hormuz (Medium confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
2 Mar 2026Diplomacy
Special session of the IAEA Board; Grossi: no indication yet of damage to nuclear installations, but a radiological release cannot be ruled out (High confidence)
Source: iaea.org, iaea.org (2)
2 Mar 2026Region
Hezbollah fires on northern Israel and Israel launches large-scale strikes on Lebanon (start of the 2026 Lebanon war) (High confidence)
Source: bbc.com, en.wikipedia.org
1 Mar 2026Region
Protesters storm the US consulate in Karachi after Khamenei's killing; at least 10 dead (Low confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
1 Mar 2026Region
United Kingdom allows "defensive" US use of its bases (Medium confidence)
Source: euractiv.com
1 Mar 2026Region
UAE closes its embassy in Tehran and recalls its ambassador (High confidence)
Source: mofa.gov.ae
1 Mar 2026War
Tankers Skylight (four injured) and MKD VYOM (one Indian crew member killed) attacked off Oman on the night of 28 February-1 March (High confidence)
Source: maritime-executive.com, gulfnews.com, reuters.com, seatrade-maritime.com
1 Mar 2026War
Iranian ballistic missile hits Beit Shemesh, Israel; nine killed and 65 wounded (High confidence)
Source: apnews.com
1 Mar 2026War
An Iranian drone attack in Kuwait kills six US service members (CENTCOM first announced three; dossier 01 gives the place as Shuaiba port) (High confidence)
Source: nbcnews.com, cbsnews.com
1 Mar 2026Power
Ahmad Vahidi becomes IRGC commander-in-chief after Mohammad Pakpour is killed (Medium confidence)
Source: israelhayom.com, iranwire.com, en.wikipedia.org
1 Mar 2026Power
Interim Leadership Council formed under Article 111 (Pezeshkian, Mohseni-Eje'i, Arafi) (Medium confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org

Feb 202624 entries

28 Feb 2026Economy
Free-market dollar at the start of the war: 1,653,700 rials (opening rate); the Tehran Stock Exchange closes (High confidence)
Source: ettelaat.com, shahraranews.ir
28 Feb 2026War
Iranian missile attack on the US Navy Fifth Fleet service centre in Manama, Bahrain (High confidence)
Source: wral.com, france24.com
28 Feb 2026War
Strike on a sports hall in Lamerd, Fars; at least 18 civilians killed (eyewitnesses and state media) (Medium confidence)
Source: dropsitenews.com
28 Feb 2026War
Strike on the Shajareh Tayyebeh girls' primary school in Minab, Hormozgan (attributed by Iranian officials to the US and Israel); sources give 156, 165 or 180 dead (Medium confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, theguardian.com
28 Feb 2026War
Iran retaliates with missiles and drones against Israel and states hosting US bases; IRGC warns ships off the Strait of Hormuz (High confidence)
Source: nytimes.com, en.wikipedia.org
28 Feb 2026War
War begins: US (Operation Epic Fury) and Israeli (Operation Roaring Lion) air strikes; Ali Khamenei killed (High confidence)
Source: news.usni.org, reuters.com, cnn.com, iaea.org
27 Feb 2026Diplomacy
IAEA safeguards report on Iran (GOV/2026/8) (High confidence)
Source: iaea.org, iaea.org (2)
27 Feb 2026War
Trump orders Operation Epic Fury at 20:38 UTC (Medium confidence)
Source: apnews.com
27 Feb 2026Diplomacy
Oman's foreign minister reports a "breakthrough": Iran agrees not to stockpile enriched uranium (Medium confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
26 Feb 2026Diplomacy
Third round of indirect talks in Geneva (Omani ambassador's residence); accounts of the outcome differ (High confidence)
Source: iaea.org, iaea.org (2), aljazeera.com, wsj.com
25 Feb 2026Economy
United States sanctions more than 30 entities in Iran's oil network (Low confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
22 Feb 2026Power
Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan (CPFIK) founded by five parties; the Komala Party joins on 4 March (Low confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
20 Feb 2026Diplomacy
Trump gives Iran a ten-day deadline (Medium confidence)
Source: iranintl.com
19 Feb 2026Diplomacy
Council of the EU adds the IRGC to the EU terrorist list (High confidence)
Source: consilium.europa.eu, consilium.europa.eu (2)
17 Feb 2026Diplomacy
Second round of talks in Geneva; agreement on "guiding principles" (High confidence)
Source: iaea.org, cbsnews.com, gulfnews.com
16 Feb 2026Diplomacy
Technical talks between Grossi and Araghchi in Geneva (High confidence)
Source: iaea.org
14 Feb 2026Diplomacy
IAEA inspections at the location outside facilities in Tehran and the Karaj waste storage (14-15 February) (High confidence)
Source: iaea.org
13 Feb 2026War
United States sends a second aircraft carrier, USS Gerald R. Ford, to the Middle East (High confidence)
Source: theguardian.com
11 Feb 2026Economy
The budget consolidation committee sets government borrowing from the National Development Fund in the 1405 budget at 967 trillion tomans (bill: 590 trillion) (Medium confidence)
Source: tejaratnews.com
10 Feb 2026Diplomacy
Netanyahu meets Trump in Washington (10-11 February) and presents the case for military action, according to a later New York Times report (Medium confidence)
Source: nytimes.com
6 Feb 2026Diplomacy
IAEA: satellite imagery shows regular vehicle traffic at the Isfahan tunnel entrances; access requested (High confidence)
Source: iaea.org
6 Feb 2026Diplomacy
First round of indirect Iran-US talks in Muscat, mediated by Oman (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, bbc.com
3 Feb 2026War
IRGC fast boats try to stop the US-flagged tanker Stena Imperative in the Strait of Hormuz (UKMTO) (Medium confidence)
Source: reuters.com
2 Feb 2026Diplomacy
Iran tells the IAEA that normal safeguards implementation is impossible after the attacks and under continued threat (High confidence)
Source: iaea.org

Jan 20267 entries

29 Jan 2026Diplomacy
EU sanctions 15 persons and 6 entities (human rights) and 4 persons and 6 entities (military support to Russia); political agreement to list the IRGC as terrorist (High confidence)
Source: consilium.europa.eu
27 Jan 2026Economy
Free-market dollar hits a record 1,500,000 rials (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
26 Jan 2026War
The USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group is on station in the region (Medium confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
23 Jan 2026War
Trump announces a US "armada" led by USS Abraham Lincoln is heading to the Middle East (High confidence)
Source: theguardian.com
13 Jan 2026Diplomacy
Trump to Iranians: "take over your institutions ... help is on its way" (Medium confidence)
Source: reuters.com
8 Jan 2026Power
Deadliest days of the crackdown on anti-government protests (8 and 10 January); death toll disputed (Medium confidence)
Source: cnn.com, en.wikipedia.org
5 Jan 2026Power
Majlis approves the outline of the 1405 budget bill (171-69-6) (High confidence)
Source: didarnews.ir, kayhan.ir

2025

45 entries

Dec 20253 entries

31 Dec 2025Economy
Abdolnaser Hemmati takes office as central bank governor (High confidence)
Source: tabnak.ir
29 Dec 2025Economy
The president's office announces Abdolnaser Hemmati as central bank governor (Mohammad Reza Farzin had resigned earlier); free-market dollar at about 1.41 million rials (High confidence)
Source: iranintl.com
28 Dec 2025Economy
Supreme Audit Court: the 1405 budget bill "lacks transparency and runs a deficit" (Medium confidence)
Source: yjc.ir

Nov 20252 entries

20 Nov 2025Diplomacy
IAEA Board resolution GOV/2025/71 (19-3-12); Iran declares the Cairo agreement terminated the same day (High confidence)
Source: iaea.org, iaea.org (2), aljazeera.com
12 Nov 2025Diplomacy
IAEA safeguards report on Iran (GOV/2025/65) (High confidence)
Source: iaea.org, pbs.org

Oct 20257 entries

28 Oct 2025Economy
Central Bank warns five banks below the capital adequacy floor (including Bank Sarmayeh and Bank Day) (Medium confidence)
Source: aftabnews.ir
23 Oct 2025Economy
Central Bank revokes Bank Ayandeh's licence; accumulated losses of 550 trillion tomans, deposits moved to Bank Melli (High confidence)
Source: asriran.com, yjc.ir
18 Oct 2025Diplomacy
Letter from China, Iran and Russia: resolution 2231 has terminated and the E3 had no standing to trigger snapback (High confidence)
Source: everycrsreport.com, securitycouncilreport.org
13 Oct 2025Diplomacy
Trump says he is ready for a deal with Iran; Araghchi says a "fair and balanced" proposal would be considered (Medium confidence)
Source: reuters.com
5 Oct 2025Economy
Majlis approves the currency redenomination bill (removing four zeros) (Medium confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
2 Oct 2025Region
The Iran-Russia comprehensive strategic partnership treaty enters into force (Medium confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
1 Oct 2025Diplomacy
United Kingdom reapplies 121 designations linked to Iran's nuclear and ballistic missile programmes (High confidence)
Source: gov.uk

Sep 20258 entries

29 Sep 2025Diplomacy
United Kingdom adds 71 individuals and entities to its sanctions list (Medium confidence)
Source: ashurstperkinscoie.com
29 Sep 2025Diplomacy
Council of the EU reimposes its suspended nuclear-related sanctions on Iran (High confidence)
Source: consilium.europa.eu, consilium.europa.eu (2)
28 Sep 2025Economy
Free-market dollar on the day UN sanctions returned: 110,010 tomans (High confidence)
Source: eghtesadonline.com
28 Sep 2025Diplomacy
UN Security Council sanctions on Iran snap back at 00:00 GMT (High confidence)
Source: iaea.org, armscontrol.org, globalsecurity.org, commonslibrary.parliament.uk, everycrsreport.com
26 Sep 2025Diplomacy
Chinese-Russian draft to extend the deadline to 18 April 2026 fails in the Security Council (High confidence)
Source: everycrsreport.com, news.un.org
19 Sep 2025Diplomacy
Security Council draft to continue sanctions relief for Iran fails (High confidence)
Source: everycrsreport.com, securitycouncilreport.org
17 Sep 2025Region
Saudi Arabia and Pakistan sign a defence pact (Medium confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
9 Sep 2025Diplomacy
"Cairo agreement" between Rafael Grossi and Abbas Araghchi on modalities for resuming inspections (High confidence)
Source: iaea.org, iaea.org (2), npr.org

Aug 20253 entries

28 Aug 2025Diplomacy
E3 trigger the snapback mechanism, starting the 30-day clock (High confidence)
Source: commonslibrary.parliament.uk, everycrsreport.com
26 Aug 2025Diplomacy
Iran-E3 talks in Geneva end without result (High confidence)
Source: iranintl.com
5 Aug 2025Power
Ali Larijani appointed secretary of the Supreme National Security Council (Medium confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org

Jul 20254 entries

25 Jul 2025Diplomacy
Iranian deputy foreign ministers meet the E3 and the EU in Istanbul over the snapback deadline (High confidence)
Source: france24.com
25 Jul 2025Diplomacy
EU extends its drone and missile sanctions on Iran until 27 July 2026 (High confidence)
Source: consilium.europa.eu
15 Jul 2025Diplomacy
EU sanctions 8 persons and 1 entity under its global human rights regime (transnational repression) (High confidence)
Source: consilium.europa.eu
2 Jul 2025Power
Pezeshkian promulgates the law suspending cooperation with the IAEA (High confidence)
Source: iaea.org, globalsecurity.org

Jun 202510 entries

25 Jun 2025Power
Majlis passes bill suspending cooperation with the IAEA (221-0-1) (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com
24 Jun 2025War
Iran-Israel ceasefire ends the Twelve-Day War (High confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
22 Jun 2025Power
A national security committee member says the Majlis has "concluded" the Strait of Hormuz should be closed (no recorded vote; the decision rests with the SNSC) (Medium confidence)
Source: presstv.ir, middleeastmonitor.com
22 Jun 2025War
United States strikes Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan (High confidence)
Source: iaea.org, en.wikipedia.org, en.wikipedia.org (2)
20 Jun 2025Diplomacy
Araghchi meets the E3 foreign ministers and the EU High Representative in Geneva; no result (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, en.wikipedia.org
16 Jun 2025Power
Majlis confirms Ali Madanizadeh as economy minister (Medium confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
14 Jun 2025Power
Amir Hatami appointed commander-in-chief of the Army (High confidence)
Source: tehrantimes.com
13 Jun 2025Economy
Free-market dollar at the start of the Twelve-Day War: about 94,000 tomans in informal trading (previous day: 83,535) (Medium confidence)
Source: eghtesadonline.com
13 Jun 2025War
Twelve-Day War begins with Israeli strikes on Iran (High confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
12 Jun 2025Diplomacy
IAEA Board of Governors resolution GOV/2025/38 finds Iran in breach of its safeguards obligations (19-3-11) (High confidence)
Source: iaea.org, iaea.org (2), aljazeera.com, en.wikipedia.org

May 20252 entries

23 May 2025Diplomacy
Fifth round of talks in Rome; no breakthrough (US: zero enrichment; Iran: enrichment non-negotiable) (High confidence)
Source: newsonair.gov.in, aljazeera.com, en.wikipedia.org
11 May 2025Diplomacy
Fourth round of talks in Muscat; "difficult but useful" (High confidence)
Source: newsonair.gov.in, en.wikipedia.org

Apr 20253 entries

26 Apr 2025Diplomacy
Third round of talks in Muscat, with technical experts (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, aljazeera.com (2), en.wikipedia.org
19 Apr 2025Diplomacy
Second round of talks in Rome (Omani embassy) (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, en.wikipedia.org
12 Apr 2025Diplomacy
First round of the 2025 Iran-US talks in Muscat, mediated by Oman (Witkoff and Araghchi) (High confidence)
Source: aljazeera.com, aljazeera.com (2), en.wikipedia.org

Mar 20252 entries

7 Mar 2025Diplomacy
Trump's letter to Ali Khamenei sets a two-month deadline for a deal (Medium confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org
2 Mar 2025Power
Majlis impeaches and removes Economy Minister Abdolnaser Hemmati (182 of 273 votes) (High confidence)
Source: isna.ir, en.wikipedia.org

Jan 20251 entry

17 Jan 2025Region
Iran and Russia sign a comprehensive strategic partnership treaty (in force from 2 October 2025; not a mutual defence pact) (Medium confidence)
Source: en.wikipedia.org

2024

4 entries

Aug 20241 entry

21 Aug 2024Power
Majlis approves all 19 of Pezeshkian's proposed ministers (High confidence)

Jul 20241 entry

28 Jul 2024Power
Masoud Pezeshkian takes office as president and names Mohammad Reza Aref first vice-president (High confidence)

May 20242 entries

27 May 2024Power
The twelfth Majlis begins its term (Medium confidence)
21 May 2024Power
Mohammad-Ali Movahedi Kermani becomes chairman of the Assembly of Experts (Low confidence)

2022

2 entries

Aug 20221 entry

8 Aug 2022Diplomacy
Josep Borrell circulates a "final text" to restore the JCPOA; Iran responds by 15 August and no deal follows (High confidence)

Jun 20221 entry

28 Jun 2022Diplomacy
Indirect Iran-US talks in Doha (28-29 June) end without a breakthrough (High confidence)

2021

6 entries

Dec 20211 entry

27 Dec 2021Diplomacy
Eighth round of the Vienna talks begins (resumed after a pause on 8 February 2022) (High confidence)

Nov 20211 entry

29 Nov 2021Diplomacy
Seventh round of the Vienna talks begins, with Ali Bagheri Kani leading the Iranian team (High confidence)

Sep 20211 entry

29 Sep 2021Power
Peyman Jebelli appointed head of the state broadcaster IRIB (five-year term) (High confidence)

Jun 20211 entry

20 Jun 2021Diplomacy
Sixth round of the Vienna talks ends; the talks pause until Ebrahim Raisi's government is formed (High confidence)

Apr 20212 entries

17 Apr 2021Diplomacy
Iran begins enriching uranium to 60% (Low confidence)
6 Apr 2021Diplomacy
Vienna talks on restoring the JCPOA begin (first round, 6-9 April); the US takes part indirectly (High confidence)

2020

1 entry

Jan 20201 entry

10 Jan 2020Diplomacy
US Executive Order 13902 targets Iran's construction, mining, manufacturing and textiles sectors (High confidence)

2018

2 entries

Aug 20181 entry

7 Aug 2018Diplomacy
First wave of US sanctions returns (second wave: 5 November 2018) (Low confidence)

May 20181 entry

8 May 2018Diplomacy
United States withdraws from the JCPOA (Medium confidence)

2016

1 entry

Jan 20161 entry

16 Jan 2016Diplomacy
JCPOA Implementation Day; UN sanctions lifted and US nuclear-related secondary sanctions suspended (Medium confidence)

2015

3 entries

Jul 20152 entries

20 Jul 2015Diplomacy
UN Security Council resolution 2231 endorses the JCPOA (High confidence)
14 Jul 2015Diplomacy
The JCPOA is concluded in Vienna (High confidence)

Apr 20151 entry

2 Apr 2015Diplomacy
Lausanne framework (Medium confidence)

2013

1 entry

Nov 20131 entry

24 Nov 2013Diplomacy
Joint Plan of Action (JPOA) signed in Geneva; implemented from 20 January 2014 (Medium confidence)

2012

2 entries

Mar 20121 entry

17 Mar 2012Diplomacy
Iranian banks are cut off from SWIFT (Low confidence)

Jan 20121 entry

23 Jan 2012Diplomacy
EU announces an oil embargo on Iran (in force from July) (Low confidence)

2011

1 entry

Jan 20111 entry

21 Jan 2011Diplomacy
Istanbul meeting between Iran and the P5+1 (21-22 January); no agreement (High confidence)

2010

4 entries

Dec 20101 entry

6 Dec 2010Diplomacy
Geneva meeting between Iran and the P5+1 (6-7 December); agreement only on a further meeting in Istanbul (High confidence)

Jun 20101 entry

9 Jun 2010Diplomacy
UN Security Council resolution 1929 (12-2-1; Brazil and Türkiye against, Lebanon abstaining) greatly expands sanctions (High confidence)

May 20101 entry

17 May 2010Diplomacy
Tehran Declaration by Iran, Brazil and Türkiye on a fuel swap (High confidence)

Feb 20101 entry

9 Feb 2010Diplomacy
Iran begins producing 20% enriched uranium (High confidence)

2009

2 entries

Oct 20092 entries

19 Oct 2009Diplomacy
Vienna talks at IAEA headquarters on the fuel swap (19-21 October); Iran does not accept the draft (High confidence)
1 Oct 2009Diplomacy
Geneva meeting: agreement "in principle" to swap 1,200 kg of low-enriched uranium for Tehran Research Reactor fuel (High confidence)

2008

2 entries

Sep 20081 entry

27 Sep 2008Diplomacy
UN Security Council resolution 1835 reaffirms earlier resolutions without new sanctions (High confidence)

Mar 20081 entry

3 Mar 2008Diplomacy
UN Security Council resolution 1803 (14-0, Indonesia abstaining) (High confidence)

2007

2 entries

Apr 20071 entry

25 Apr 2007Diplomacy
Ali Larijani and Javier Solana meet in Ankara (25-26 April) (High confidence)

Mar 20071 entry

24 Mar 2007Diplomacy
UN Security Council resolution 1747: arms and financial restrictions (High confidence)

2006

4 entries

Dec 20061 entry

23 Dec 2006Diplomacy
UN Security Council resolution 1737: sanctions on individuals and entities; the 1737 Committee is created (High confidence)

Jul 20061 entry

31 Jul 2006Diplomacy
UN Security Council resolution 1696 (14-1, Qatar against) demands that Iran suspend enrichment (High confidence)

Jun 20061 entry

6 Jun 2006Diplomacy
P5+1 package offered to Iran: suspension of enrichment in exchange for light-water reactors and fuel guarantees (High confidence)

Feb 20061 entry

4 Feb 2006Diplomacy
IAEA Board of Governors reports Iran's file to the UN Security Council (Medium confidence)

2005

1 entry

Aug 20051 entry

8 Aug 2005Diplomacy
Iran resumes uranium conversion at Isfahan (after rejecting the EU3 package) (High confidence)

2004

1 entry

Nov 20041 entry

14 Nov 2004Diplomacy
Paris Agreement between Iran and the EU3 (14-15 November): a broader suspension (Medium confidence)

2003

2 entries

Dec 20031 entry

18 Dec 2003Diplomacy
Iran signs the Additional Protocol (Low confidence)

Oct 20031 entry

21 Oct 2003Diplomacy
Tehran Declaration (Saadabad) between Iran and the EU3: voluntary suspension of enrichment and application of the Additional Protocol (Medium confidence)

Documents

A scan of the original beside its readable text

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If I were in their seat

The offices that decide in this field, and what an AI would decide in each.

AI analysis, not news

If I were in this seatSupreme LeaderNow: Mojtaba Khamenei

I would give the Supreme National Security Council a clear, time-limited mandate to close a step-for-step deal in which both sides move on the same day, and I would tell the public its outline.

See what follows →

If I were in this seatForeign MinisterNow: Abbas Araghchi

Instead of arguing over who goes first, I would propose a shared day zero: on the same day Iran opens the way for merchant ships and the United States pauses the blockade; the remaining points follow within thirty days.

See what follows →

All seats →

The chronology is current to 4 Oct 2026. The "This has happened before" cards come from Divan's diplomacy research of 4 Oct 2026. The dashed outlines on the map come from Cliopatria (release 0.2.1, 3 Oct 2026): one reading of the territory of past states, drawn with a coarse line. So a small gap between a dashed outline and today's border or the coast need not mean a change of territory.