DECISION TABLE · DIVAN'S CONCLUSION · AI ANALYSIS · DIVAN2026Divanby AhuraIn Their Seat
In Their Seat · Parliament

If I were the Speaker of Parliament

Current holder: Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, since 2020 (source)

AI analysis, not newsFirst edition, before review

What this office can decide

  • Parliament makes law and approves the budget (Articles 71 and 52).
  • Every international treaty must be approved by parliament (Article 77).
  • Questioning and impeaching ministers (Articles 88 and 89); the Speaker sits on the Supreme National Security Council.

What is not in its hands

Parliament does not negotiate; it can only accept or reject the result. Its bills must also pass the Guardian Council.

The decision and what follows

From the question to the outcome, step by step
On the desk

Five seats are empty, the budget is 1,530 trillion toman short, and any deal ends up in parliament. Should parliament be an obstacle or a backing?

My decision

I would settle now how parliament will examine any deal: what is put to a vote, within how many days, and against which tests.

  1. 1A fast procedure, for example ten days, for any deal.
  2. 2A public session on wartime income and spending.
  3. 3Pressing for elections to fill the five empty seats.
Ifs and buts
If a deal arrives and meets the testsapproving it takes days, not months.helps
If parliament rejects the dealthe government is left with the blockade.hurts

The upside

  • The negotiator knows what will pass in parliament, and so does the other side.
  • People can see how their representative voted.

The downside

  • Public tests tie the negotiator's hands.
  • A public session puts the disagreements on show.

What would change my mind

If the Supreme National Security Council wants the deal kept confidential: then the review must be in closed session.

Divan's three goals

What this decision does for Divan's three goals

Each column shows whether the decision brings Iran closer to that goal or takes it further away. The middle line is today.

AI analysis, not newsAI estimate: direction only, not a figure

Iran stays whole

closer

A deal that passes parliament is not one faction's deal, and that heads off the fight at home.

A stronger Iran

slightly closer

Approval within days means the blockade lifts months earlier.

First power of the region

slightly closer

The other side knows Iran's signature has the law behind it.

The facts this analysis rests on

Every figure with its source and date

Seats in the Majlis

Report we read

290seats

Parliament has 290 seats. Five are empty because their members joined the government and no by-election has been held.

Whether all 285 members were still sitting in October 2026 has not been checked one by one.

4 Oct 2026 · Source: تسنیم، فهرست منتخبان دورهٔ دوازدهم

Budget deficit 1405 (Majlis Research Centre definition)

Report we read

1,530trillion toman

This year the government plans to spend about 1,530 trillion toman more than it earns, and fills the gap by selling bonds and drawing on the National Development Fund. One hemmat is a thousand billion toman.

24 Sep 2026 · Source: نماد اقتصاد

Source: manshur.ahura.cloud

AI analysis: not news and not an official position. Author: Claude, an AI model by Anthropic · 5 Oct 2026. The subject is the office, not the person.