Iran stays whole
closerOne equal schedule for every district and city means no place feels it was sacrificed.
In Their Seat · Government
If I were the Minister of Energy
Current holder: Abbas Aliabadi, since 21 Aug 2024 (source)
AI analysis, not newsFirst edition, before review
What this office can decide
- Generating and distributing electricity and water.
- The schedule of power cuts and power-plant maintenance.
- Proposing electricity and water tariffs to the cabinet.
What is not in its hands
The oil ministry supplies power-plant fuel, and tariffs are approved by the cabinet and parliament.
The decision and what follows
From the question to the outcome, step by stepAt the summer peak the grid was 13,640 megawatts short. There will be power cuts; the question is who, when and how much.
I would end surprise cuts: a schedule announced in advance and equal for all, and power plants repaired before the next peak.
- 1Each district's schedule a week ahead, at one public address.
- 2Hospitals, water and bakeries kept out of the cuts.
- 3Stepped tariffs for heavy users, and buying saved power back from industry.
Ifs and buts
If plants are repaired before the peakthe shortfall shrinks.helps
If the power grid is struckthe schedule breaks down; emergency power for vital sites must be ready.hurts
+The upside
- Households and workshops can plan; the loss from sudden cuts falls.
- A public schedule stops some districts being favoured over others.
−The downside
- A public schedule is an official admission of the shortage.
- Higher tariffs squeeze factories that are already struggling.
↺What would change my mind
If the figures show most of the shortfall is grid losses and not missing plants: then the money should go to the grid first.
Divan's three goals
What this decision does for Divan's three goals
Each column shows whether the decision brings Iran closer to that goal or takes it further away. The middle line is today.
AI analysis, not newsAI estimate: direction only, not a figure
A stronger Iran
slightly closerA workshop that knows when it has power loses less.
First power of the region
No direct effectNo direct effect.
The facts this analysis rests on
Every figure with its source and dateElectricity shortfall, summer 1405
Report we read13,640megawatts
At the peak of the summer heat, power plants supplied about 13,600 megawatts less than the country needed, which means rolling cuts for homes and factories.
14 Jul 2026 · Source: همشهری آنلاین، به نقل از مرکز پژوهشهای مجلس
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